Tariffs spur short-term export boom—cause for celebration or concern?

Under normal circumstances, an 11 percent year-to-year increase in Colorado’s exports would be cause for great celebration. However, these are not normal circumstances.

The Trump administration’s tough stance on trade policy has incentivized manufacturers to stockpile import inputs and expedite export sales to beat the tariffs now imposed by the U.S. and reciprocated by our strongest trading partners. President Trump is already taking a bow for export increases as well as a strong U.S. economy. Some think that the numbers justify this, but many others think we should hold off to see next quarter’s numbers as a truer representation of our economy. Some levers meant to boost our economy, such as tax reform, seem to now be countered by the latest tariff increases. Now we must see if the once-settled precedent that tariffs make for a weaker economy will play out like it has in trade wars past.

I, like most, thought that the tough talk on trade was going to be more rhetoric, and I had the attitude, “This too shall pass.” When the tariffs were discussed early this year and came into play in March on aluminum and steel, and soon levied on our strongest allies, we still saw a 33 percent increase in aluminum imports and a 57 percent increase in aluminum exports out of the state. Disruptions to the market often have such unintended consequences. Yet other impacts can be as predictable as the tides, such as foreign and local investments starting to wither in Colorado.

For example, we recently learned of a Canadian manufacturer who invested in a plant and staff in Colorado but is no longer competitive in the U.S. due to the steel and aluminum tariffs. Additionally, with the on-again, off-again threat to pull out of the world’s largest trading bloc, NAFTA, U.S. policy is no longer stable enough to entice investment. Since the aforementioned company’s largest customer is PEMEX in Mexico, the operations will most certainly move south due to uncertainty about NAFTA.

Whether manufacturers stitch together a coalition of domestic producers or continue to source internationally, the tariff hike will now raise the components costs, making U.S.-made goods less competitive on the world stage and more expensive for consumers here.

Let’s take a closer look at more recent tariffs impacting Colorado goods sold in China, such as whiskey, yogurt, and cheese. Colorado companies making these products are at a disadvantage to exporters from countries enjoying more favorable trade deals with China. For example, many of the Trans-Pacific Partnership countries export to China under some form of free trade agreement. Colorado manufacturers, like the agriculture industry that recently pushed back on the $12 billion subsidy offered by the administration after the Chinese tariff retaliation, would rather have access to China’s 1.4 billion consumers and competitive manufacturing inputs.

It may seem like our booming economy can withstand compounding tariffs with our biggest trading partners, but the reverberations have yet to be recognized in the numbers. Trade is the foundation of prosperity for all sides. It is not a win-lose, zero-sum game. Instability that is caused by trade wars trickles down to investments, operational decisions, and even buying practices. For a country that touts innovation and products that are the envy of the world, let us truly evaluate the message we are sending by continuing to raise tariffs to protect our industries.

It would be a mistake to allow this short-term boost in our economy to translate into a license to move forward on auto tariffs on our allies, $200 billion of additional tariffs with China, and a sunset of NAFTA.

I ask, who are we protecting?

Karen Gerwitz is the president and CEO of the World Trade Center Denver, a trade association supporting Colorado manufacturers for more than 30 years in expanding their businesses globally. The World Trade Center Denver is an advocate for open market access. If you have questions about how trade policy may affect your business, contact their Help Desk at 833/ASK-WTCD.

Also read, Taxing imports is a stopgap. Where’s the plan? Bart Taylor, CompanyWeek.

Taxing imports is a stopgap. Where’s the plan?

On one hand, it seems reasonable for President Trump to use America’s vast consumer and commercial markets as leverage in trade negotiations. China, especially, has used open and relatively unfettered access to American consumers and intellectual property to great effect, even as it protects its own. Access to American markets should come with a price.

But will tariffs change the balance of power in global trade? That’s the point, isn’t it?

It’s a hot debate, but the consensus is that no, tariffs won’t diminish China’s industrial capabilities or enhance ours. China, Canada, and Germany will work around cost increases, pass them on to consumers or find other buyers. That’s the point — manufacturing products that are in demand around the globe. If protecting American IP is the goal, limiting the export of key technologies and processes seems a better approach than taxing imports. And if Trump thought tariffs would encourage Harley-Davidson to make more motorcycles here to sell in newly opened markets in Europe, Harley had different ideas.

They’re not alone. Brands are still motivated to go offshore to make products designed and engineered in America. American brands have helped elevate China and much of Asia by investing in labor, infrastructure, and equipment in offshore destinations from Taipei to Ho Chi Minh City.

Instead, the more permanent way to fix America’s trade imbalance is to make more products here, by providing incentives and tools to empower domestic manufacturing and homegrown industries. Products that compete as exports in a global market and slake the thirst of of American consumers and OEMs.

Trump thinks tariffs will help, tweeting:

Tariffs are working big time. Every country on earth wants to take wealth out of the U.S., always to our detriment. I say, as they come,Tax them. If they don’t want to be taxed, let them make or build the product in the U.S. In either event, it means jobs and great wealth…..

Unfortunalately for the President, support for tariffs may not sustain, even among his own party. We may not see whether tariffs are a catalyst for more domestic production.

But we do have a blueprint for developing a more robust domestic manufacturing capacity. It’s there for all to see, courtesy MForesight, a pro-manufacturing think tank. It’s a renewed commitment to America’s “industrial commons” by way of four initiatives:

  1. Invest in translational research and manufacturing innovation. Including funding needed to develop operational prototypes and demonstrate manufacturability.
  2. Encourage pilot production and scale-up, to restore domestic production and overall leadership in emerging industries, America needs to invest in advancing manufacturing technologies, increasing pilot production, and scaling up to viable commercial volume.
  3. Empower small and medium-sized manufacturers.
  4. Grow domestic engineering and technical talent.

American brands want a fair playing field, with equal and open access to markets of the same exporters that compete with them in the U.S. Farmers and manufacturers want to be able to compete on value and quality, without host countries manipulating markets and pricing.

But until a domestic manufacturing strategy replaces tactics like tariffs, others may shape the fight for global trade supremacy. And American manufacturers will continue to seek out labor and infrastructure offshore. And the tools and expertise that China seeks to power its ambitious Made in China 2025 manifesto may emanate here.

Investing in a more capable domestic supply chain — rebuilding our “industrial commons” — is the first priority in avoiding this eventuality.

Bart Taylor is publisher of CompanyWeek. Contact him at btaylor@companyweek.com.

Why we’ve developed a CompanyWeek paywall, part II

Last week in introducing CompanyWeek‘s paywall (see below), I mentioned a new data service, a value-add to content access for subscribers.

It’s important to note what the data set is, and isn’t. We think the value of the company profiles is the story executives tell of challenges, needs, and opportunities, based on their industry and the products they make. It’s a unique window into manufacturing and to the companies, and we’ve collected and organized this information in a searchable database.

It’s also intelligence that can help savvy business partners shape services and processes that help these companies grow.

We’re not sharing contact information through this data service, but we’re confident our data can help connect the community and juice its development.

Sample more of the data here.

Part I

After nearly five years of publishing, CompanyWeek is taking the important step of charging fees for the products we make. Beginning this week we’ll ask readers to subscribe after reading three company features each month.

Important for who, you might ask? It’s a fair question.

For us, of course, and for our customers, who we think will support this new phase of our business. Asking a fair price for quality work is something our readers understand, and our commitment is to invest in product development to get even better.

It should also send a message that we’re bullish on community building. The manufacturing and supply-chain executives that read and use CompanyWeek want more — more connections, more storytelling, more data, more ideas that lead to success. Companies we write about strive to solve a problem or fill a need in the market. We do as well, and as manufacturing expands into new frontiers, we think CompanyWeek can be an even more important resource.

We’ve also waited to establish a paywall until we can also offer an important value-add service to our subscribers. As we push past 1000 total company profiles, we now have an aggregate data set that provides a important window into regional manufacturing. Companies can use the information to better understand macro trends, track industry and product activity, or identify potential business partners or local industry innovators.

We’re not the first publisher to establish a paywall. But we’re confident that even as we’re late to the game, our trade-specific information is more valuable than scores of sites that trade in news, the Internet’s content commodity. We also believe our content and data is already on par with other fee-based services that promise new contacts or connections. We connect the modern manufacturing community every week.

Casual readers will still be able to read three profiles a month for free. And our content packages are priced to provide affordable access to all of our content — manufacturing content you will find nowhere else.

Subscribers who also choose the data option will receive a monthly data set summarizing new profiles, as well as original surveys, invites to special events, discounts on services from participating underwriters, and more. As it was five years ago when we debuted, our mission is to be at the center of manufacturing community in the West.

Please contact me with questions or comments. Or subscribe to ensure access to the full sweep of CompanyWeek content and services. And in doing so, contribute to elevating the regional dialogue about U.S. manufacturing. It’s a worthy cause, and we’re champions for the sector.

Bart Taylor is publisher of CompanyWeek. Contact him at btaylor@companyweek.com.

Colorado avoids flunking Conexus’ national manufacturing scorecard, but not by much. Where to now?

For the 10th consecutive year, Colorado was given a D for manufacturing sector health in the Conexus Indiana 2018 Manufacturing and Logistics National Report. It lands Colorado much closer to neighbor New Mexico and Alaska — both Fs — than annual favorites Indiana, Kentucky, Iowa, and Michigan, who again led a Midwest sweep of the top scores, all As.

Colorado actually slid from a D+ in 2014 to a D in 2018. Here’s how the report scored the state in the sub-categories that make up the aggregate score:

So what’s it mean?

I still think the Conexus methodology favors labor and industry statistics that underreport the reach of manufacturing’s value chain in industries like aerospace, food and beverage, and cannabis. The disconnect is obvious in the C grade Colorado gets for productivity and innovation. The state bleeds innovation. Its food sector alone has helped reimagine the national industry.

But my full-throated defense from past years seems, well, out of date. Colorado manufacturing is healthy, but it could be so much better.

If the Conexus methodology is a bit stale, others are providing more modern and relevant benchmarks that demonstrate why.

Sridhar Kota and Thomas Mahoney’s brilliant but worrisome new report, Manufacturing Prosperity, A Bold Strategy for National Wealth and Security, is one.

The report’s a must-read and pointed to three grand challenges of American manufacturing:

  1. Rebuild the “Industrial Commons,” the set of knowledge and practical skills, supply chains and production capacity, materials and equipment, and overall industrial ecosystems that enable manufacturing across multiple industries.
  2. Convert national R&D to national wealth and security. The study concluded that technologies invented here are being licensed, sold, or given away to manufacture overseas, which, in effect, is subsidizing R&D for other countries.
  3. Lead emerging industries. The United States must have a leadership position in emerging industries such as autonomous vehicles, robotics, multi-material additive manufacturing, bio-manufacturing, energy storage, advanced materials, and quantum computing, to name a few.

It’s an assessment that will resonate with manufacturers here, as do the ‘critical next steps’ cited by the report to address the challenges:

  1. Invest in transitional research and manufacturing innovation, including funding needed to develop operational prototypes, demonstrate manufacturability, and identify viable markets
  2. Encourage pilot production and scale-up. To restore domestic production and overall leadership in emerging industries, America needs to invest in advancing manufacturing technologies, increasing pilot production, and scaling up to viable commercial volume.
  3. Empower small and medium-sized manufacturers.
  4. Grow domestic engineering and technical talent.

Are Kota and Mahoney’s prescriptions a better roadmap, a new benchmark, for success?

Weighed against the report’s grand challenges, certainly Colorado’s sector is still a work in progress. Colorado’s Industrial Commons — its companies, supply chains, regions, universities and colleges, production facilities, and talent — are unconnected and want for a unifying voice and vision. Financing and funding for early-stage companies, to fund pilot production and scaled operations, is difficult to secure. SMMs operate without the resources of tech and service counterparts.

But I wrote last year “the centers of modern U.S. manufacturing will tilt toward R&D-inspired, entrepreneurial economies also benefiting from an influx of talent and money.” It seems an apt description of Colorado’s economy. It’s a harder case to make for Kentucky and other perennial Conexus favorites that struggle to attract a highly educated workforce and lag in rankings of state economies, like here and here.

So what’s a fair grade?

Innovation, and an economy and lifestyle that’s a magnet for talent, should weigh more heavily in the state’s favor. Colorado is a destination for leading brands in dynamic manufacturing industries. Manufacturing is simply better here today than in 2009.

Let’s call it a C+. And next year, with progress on the steps outlined above, an end to Colorado’s Conexus conundrum.

Bart Taylor is publisher of CompanyWeek. Reach him at btaylor@companyweek.com.

3 companies, 3 trends: This week’s mix of profiles tells a larger story of trends shaping California manufacturing

Last week I was fortunate to attend the California Network of Manufacturing Innovation’s conference, “Automation: The Next Generation of Lean,” at The University of California, Irvine. Among the messages from industry professionals speaking at the event: Automation is coming, get ready or get left behind; the implementation “gap” between large and small-to-midsize companies is Grand Canyon-like, but cobots and other entry-level robots provide a short-path to automation; and robots are not displacing workers, but enabling companies to reallocate labor to value-added roles.

It’s a key point, one echoed by owner Dave Kush in this week’s Axis Robotics profile. “I’ve seen people in manufacturing making the same part for 30 years,” he says. “When that repetitive task is automated, that same employee ends up learning how to program, run the robot, and oversee the process. In the end, they become more valuable to the company because they know what to do if there’s a breakdown. If they leave, they also take with them experience that makes them more valuable in the job market.”

As one conference panelist said, “We don’t see a lot of jobs being lost to automation. We see a repurposing of labor into areas that are value-added to the company.”

Even so, Axis’ Kush also sees a challenge for him and for other technology “integrators.” As ease of use improves and as the “interface” between robots and their human programmers becomes easier, integration firms will suffer. It was another theme at the CNMI event: When robots can program themselves, well, where does it end?

In Ventura, Swiss Productions GM Timo Lunceford is chasing opportunity by also investing in equipment — in this case new machines to more precisely fabricate the parts and pieces for bioscience and medical device manufacturers. Lunceford is driving growth by being more precise in what he currently does, innovation that’s enabling him to expand what he makes and assembles for key OEMs. “They’re realizing that getting five components from us, then having to assemble it themselves, is costing more than having us just ship them the completed part,” he explains.

It’s a trend we see in California manufacturing: Technology, processes, and OEM interest in retooling a domestic supply-chain are leading to a heightened competitive capability in the sector.

Finally, the seismic California cannabis manufacturing sector is transforming at a rate that will be viewed as no less than astonishing when we look back. Those who are not paying attention to the entrepreneurship and science now informing the sector may wish they had.

Dr. Jeffrey Raber’s The Werc Shop has already pivoted from testing lab into contract manufacturing, and the move has transformed the company. The staff has grown 30-fold in four years as revenue has been “doubling and doubling,” says Raber. “It’s hard to predict how big we can grow.”

It’s just another reminder that cannabis industry shares in the upside of manufacturing’s incredible resurgence, and at the same time benefits from its first-moving counterparts in the natural food and craft beverage industries. The pieces are all there: refined science and product testing, advanced production and quality control, and fast-changing product distribution and customer strategies. (Also read Eric Peterson’s important summary of challenges in California’s cannabis supply chain.)

What a time to be involved in California manufacturing.

Bart Taylor is publisher of CompanyWeek. Email him at btaylor@companyweek.com.

California gets a C in Conexus’ annual manufacturing scorecard. Here’s a better measuring stick.

For the 10th consecutive year the Conexus Indiana 2018 Manufacturing and Logistics National Report graded California’s manufacturing economy a C. It’s cause for less concern than states like Colorado, where a 10th straight D leaves that state closer to Conexus flunkies in New Mexico and Alaska.

At the same time, it leaves America’s largest manufacturing economy stuck in average, looking up at Conexus’ annual favorites like Indiana, Kentucky, Iowa, and Michigan, who again led a Midwest sweep of the top scores, all As.

Here’s the grid:

I’ve taken issue with Conexus before. I think the methodology favors labor and industry statistics that underreport the reach of manufacturing’s value chain in industries like aerospace, food and beverage, and, in a modern twist, cannabis. How a state like California scores a D in Sector Diversification is also confounding.

Other studies have also emerged that seem a better benchmark to evaluate the health of manufacturing economies. Much has changed since Conexus began ranking states. Sridhar Kota and Thomas Mahoney’s brilliant but worrisome new report, Manufacturing Prosperity, A Bold Strategy for National Wealth and Security, is one.

The report’s a must-read, but it pointed to three grand challenges of American manufacturing:

  1. Rebuild the “Industrial Commons,” the set of knowledge and practical skills, supply chains and production capacity, materials and equipment, and overall industrial ecosystems that enable manufacturing across multiple industries.
  2. Convert national R&D to national wealth and security. The study concluded that technologies invented here are being licensed, sold, or given away to manufacture overseas, which, in effect, is subsidizing R&D for other countries.
  3. Lead emerging industries. The United States must have a leadership position in emerging industries such as autonomous vehicles, robotics, multi-material additive manufacturing, bio-manufacturing, energy storage, advanced materials, and quantum computing, to name a few.

The report cites these critical next steps to address the challenges.

  1. Invest in translational research and manufacturing innovation. Including, funding for the translational research needed to develop operational prototypes, demonstrate manufacturability, and identify viable markets is frequently unavailable.
  2. Encourage pilot production and scale-up, to restore domestic production and overall leadership in emerging industries, America needs to invest in advancing manufacturing technologies, increasing pilot production, and scaling up to viable commercial volume.
  3. Empower small and medium-sized manufacturers.
  4. Grow domestic engineering and technical talent.

Are Kota and Mahoney’s challenges and prescriptions a better benchmark for success? I’ll say yes. California manufacturers are focused on these issues.

At minimum, a new scale provides room to move up the ranking system if progress can be made, something the Conexus model seems unable to provide.

We’ll track that progress throughout the year.

Bart Taylor is publisher of CompanyWeek. Reach him at btaylor@companyweek.com.

Two ways robotics and automation are transforming manufacturing in our backyard

Manufacturing automation is in the news and in our profiles. Here are two or three takeaways.

Two weeks ago, I attended the California Network of Manufacturing Innovation’s excellent conference, “Automation: The Next Generation of Lean,” at UC Irvine. Among the messages from industry professionals speaking at the event: Automation is coming, get ready or get left behind; the implementation “gap” between large companies and the small to midsized majority of manufacturers is Grand Canyon-like — but cobots and other entry-level robots provide a short-path to automation; and robots are less displacing workers than enabling companies to reallocate labor to more value-added roles.

It’s a key point, one echoed by owner Dave Kush in the Axis Robotics profile in this week’s Colorado newsletter. Contrary to the popular narrative, many robotics deployments are enabling companies to free up employees to focus on more value-add work. As one panelists said, “We don’t see a lot of jobs being lost to automation. We see a repurposing of labor into areas that are value-added to the company.”

For one, the trend is changing what a Quality Control room looks like. Today in job shops throughout manufacturing, people are inspecting hundreds and thousands of the same part, nobly searching for minor imperfections. In five years, QC will be a fully automated function for many of these same companies.

(As a cautionary tale, a slower embrace of robotics and automation challenges the notion that collectively, U.S. companies are leading a global tech surge in manufacturing. For a more sobering assessment of productivity gains in the US compared to other advanced manufacturing countries, read this eye-opening feature in Quartz.)

I wrote last week that Swiss Productions‘ Timo Lunceford is chasing opportunity by investing in equipment at the Ventura-based company — in this case new machines to more precisely fabricate the parts and pieces of bioscience and medical device manufacturing. Lunceford is driving growth by being more precise in what he currently does, innovation that’s enabling him to expand what he makes and assembles for key OEMs.

It’s a trend we see more in California manufacturing: technology, processes, and OEM interest in reimaging a domestic supply-chain — all leading to a heightened competitive capability in the sector, in contract manufacturing in particular.

I couldn’t have written a better description for what’s happening at Colorado Manufacturing Award-winning Manes Machine in Fort Collins. I stopped in to visit CEO Bruce Page last week.

Page is also investing — on a larger scale. Manes is a best-in-class aerospace manufacturer whose calling card has been large, fabricated components in aircraft like Boeing’s 787 Dreamliner.

Page is increasing Manes’ competitiveness with robotics that connect multiple machining platforms, as state-of-the-art data management tools provide constant information to operators and managers. It’s a technology and automation play that is truly transformative. Page’s advanced machines are fabricating the same parts for Boeing’s fleet of airplanes, but with increased efficiency and access to data that’s improving company profitability and competitiveness.

But there’s more: The technology is fundamentally changing Manes’ workforce equation by attracting talent that a decade ago would have bypassed heavy contract manufacturing altogether. It’s also lessening the burden of training and retaining a workforce that’s become nearly impossible to replace. It’s the new face of manufacturing. We’ll profile Manes Machine later this summer.

As I also said last week, it’s an incredible time to be involved with manufacturing.

Bart Taylor is publisher of CompanyWeek. Email him at btaylor@companyweek.com.

Takeaways from a year of publishing in California

June marks the one-year anniversary for CompanyWeek in California. It’s been a year of exploration, of growth, of learning and listening, and, more than anything, of coming to grips with America’s largest and most diverse statewide manufacturing economy.

Here’s a short list of takeaways after year one:

  • I lost track of the number of conversations I had with manufacturers who first cited how hard it is to do business in California, and, in their next breath, told me they’d never leave or consider moving. California companies have a torrid love/hate relationship with their home state.
  • Open rates of CompanyWeek‘s California e-publication have been comparable to those in Colorado and Utah. Click-through rates on stories are slightly lower. I think it’s an outcome of California’s size — sprawling urban environments and geographic and industrial diversity. Plus, “local” matters more than ever. It’s a dynamic playing out across the business community, notably for us in growth in industries like food and beverage manufacturing. Our goal is to write about companies doing things that should matter to manufacturers across the region. It doesn’t always work that way.
  • For us this means reporting on companies across manufacturing industries. The list of most-popular features in California after a year reflects manufacturer’s interest in other maker companies regardless of industry — a dynamic at work across our publishing footprint. It’s a cross-industry mix of standout companies.

1. Virginia Park Foods, Riverside.

2. Abel Reels, Camarillo, California/Montrose, Colorado

3. Bishop Wisecarver Corporation, Pittsburg

4. Circa of America, San Francisco

5. Häns Swipe, Santa Fe Springs

6. Fender Musical Instruments Corporation, Corona

7. Scale 1:1, Los Angeles

8. Scandic, San Leandro

9. Odor No More, Tustin

10. Rosenblum Cellars, Oakland

  • The list also reflects our main interest today in middle-market companies operating within OEM supply chains, and OEMs committed to domestic production. That’s not to say we won’t be featuring more multinational OEMs like Apple, or automotive OEMs that source globally. But to understand the state of American manufacturing today, look to the companies reinventing what it means to be a true domestic manufacturer. California hosts them in the thousands. Companies within Apple’s $55 billion domestic annual supply-chain spend capture our imagination.

As we get underway in Year Two, we’ll pick up the pace of coverage with more profiles and industry reports. And we’ll bring manufacturers together around funding and financing and to collaborate across industries.

Thanks for supporting our mission along the way.

Bart Taylor is publisher of CompanyWeek. Reach him at btaylor@companyweek.com.

Food revolution the tip of the iceberg as manufacturing industries innovate

The Wall Street Journal‘s reporting last week on how big food is struggling to keep pace with innovation underscores the influence of the 100-plus food companies we’ve featured the past four-plus years. It also echoes the message we’ve been trumpeting at the same time: We’re witnessing a full-on food and beverage revolution.

But as much as CompanyWeek‘s food and beverage archive, or a WSJ headline like “Small Brands Are Taking a Thousand Little Bites Out of Campbell’s Business” reflect manufacturing’s new influence and character, production is often downplayed. Brands innovate, the thinking goes. Where, or how, companies choose to manufacture products is a minor detail.

I recently argued how flawed this thinking is with respect to the outdoor industry. The logic falls flat in the food business as well, if for other reasons. Without a new and innovative manufacturing ecosystem, the “thousand bites” taking a toll on Big Food would be a half-dozen, and Campbell’s would still today be the arbiter of innovation in the sector.

But it’s not, because Richard Lappen, Robbie Rech, and Manoj Venugopal and other first-moving production innovators were busy developing a world-class, scalable manufacturing ecosystem. Food brands don’t have the option to offshore production; without enhanced domestic production focused on small companies, we wouldn’t have a revolution in the food sector.

Food innovators are also looking outside the conventional supply chain for new ideas and inspiration. Josh and Christi Skow’s Canyon Bakehouse looked to aerospace innovator NFT Automation for automation solutions in their gluten-free bakery. Jennifer and Jeff Vierling at Durango’s Tailwind Nutrition leaned on Ska Fabricating, progeny of the prolific Ska Brewing, to develop production lines for Tailwind’s line of powdered drink mixes.

It’s the tip of the iceberg. Manufacturing innovations will drive product and brand development in countless other ways, much of it current technology and processes bleeding across vertical markets. Call it Supply Chain 4.0, a new ecosystem where production innovations developed by brewers and distillers, wine and beverage brands, food, edibles, and the variety of consumer brands and OEMs in the region are shared across industries, refined, and delivered back by a more capable supply chain.

Today manufacturers need to know how other companies are utilizing new workforce options like apprenticeships; how equipment innovation is facilitating new, low-tolerance fabricating onshore, across multiple industries; the promise of direct-to-consumer models in apparel and consumer goods that enable brands to cut costs, dollars that can be poured back into design, domestic sourcing, or production; and myriad other innovations transportable across vertical markets and industries silos.

The lessons of Small Food, where creativity and the will to challenge conventional wisdom have combined with production innovations to vault the regional sector to national renown, aren’t isolated. As we bring companies together from across industries to explore the possibilities, we’ll report on the seismic outcomes.

Stay tuned.

Bart Taylor is publisher of CompanyWeek. Email him at btaylor@companyweek.com.

The numbers behind manufacturing’s comeback are stunning. Do they add up to a more resilient sector?

Manufacturing’s comeback is a hot national topic. It’s also a contrast to the post-recession narrative, when manufacturing had lost hundreds of thousands of jobs and was declared dead and buried.

Today the numbers tell a different story:

  • Four years ago, pundits cited sub-50 PMI levels (Purchasing Managers’ Index, a measure of manufacturing health) as evidence that manufacturing was dead. Today the PMI hovers around 60, and the overall economy grew for the 107th consecutive month. The economy goes as manufacturing goes.
  • New data measures the power of manufacturing’s multiplier effect and the widening impact of the manufacturing supply chain. Brian Lewandowski and Michael Hansen’s CompanyWeek column outlined that Colorado manufacturing activity “supports a total of 441,000 jobs in the state, and contributes approximately $47 billion to state GDP.” It’s powerful stuff. The state’s top employment sector — trade, transportation, and utilities — supports about 470,000 jobs. Almost as many are touched by manufacturing.
  • Harry Moser’s Reshoring Initiative, an early mover in forecasting a return of American manufacturing, just released its 2017 data report, and the numbers are again eye opening. The press release reads, “Including upward revisions of 67,000 jobs in prior years, the total number of manufacturing jobs brought to the U.S. from offshore is over 576,000 since the .. manufacturing employment low of 2010. The 171,000 reshoring and FDI jobs announced equal 90 percent of the 189,000 total manufacturing jobs added in 2017.” The release adds, “Combined reshoring and FDI jobs were up 122 percent compared to unrevised 2016 totals and 52 percent compared to revised 2016 totals.” If Moser’s right, U.S. firms are repatriating jobs. It means the economics of manufacturing in America is compelling brands to make things here for the first time in decades.
  • OEDIT’s Luis Benitez uses the term “connected economies” to describe cross-sector collaboration, and it’s an apt description of what’s happening today, companies discovering shared interests and opportunities across the industry silos that have defined them. For example, brands in natural products and outdoor industries are realizing they have a lot in common — including customers. And they’re collaborating to advance their shared interests. It’s a big opportunity: consumers spend $887 billion annually on outdoor recreation, and another $190 billion or so on natural products. As technology, processes, people, and best practices bleed across industries, the outcomes will be seismic, as in a $1T opportuntity in this example alone. It’s the tip of the iceberg.
  • The renewed influence of the sector was on full display at two regional events this April — the Colorado Manufacturing Awards and the Northern Colorado Manufacturing Partnership trade show and expo — NOCOM. Both were harbingers of things to come, showcasing the state as a manufacturing laboratory and an engine of innovation and growth.

Does all of this translate into a more resilient sector? The answer is less clear.

Manufacturers cite workforce challenges as a barrier to growth. Can it stop sector development cold?

Maybe. It’s a multi-faceted challenge. Re-training a new manufacturing workforce to meet the needs of a modern sector is challenge one.

Affordable housing is a close second. I’ve written how Naturally Bay Area, formed to model Naturally Boulder’s success, might incubate and accelerate companies only to see them move for lack of manufacturing infrastructure and employees.

Even as business finds a way, economic developers still lack a playbook, a blueprint, to guide the development of the manufacturing supply chain. What are the ingredients for success, and for which industries? Build it and they will come, but how to determine what’s lacking? Today the regional manufacturing supply chain is more spotty than complete.

Cohesive, pro-manufacturing public policy is as elusive. Do tariffs serve the collective interests of manufacturers? How will immigrant-reliant industries like food and ag manage growth with fewer employees? Tax cuts are great. Trillion-dollar deficits increase uncertainty.

Benitez’s “connected economies” are still unconnected, largely.

But the next exponential leap in industry development — and resiliency — will occur when brands are clustered with their means of production and with others outside their current sphere of influence, companies that share common opportunities and challenges.

Exhibit A: How powerful would Colorado’s outdoor industry be if it were better aligned with regional manufacturers building its toys and with the state’s tourism juggernaut? We’ll dig deeper into the concept in the coming months.

In the end the American West has the upper hand. Net in-migration and positive outcomes of well-funded workforce initiatives will rebuild the talent pipeline. Industries will get connected.

Until then, the revolution is being televised. Don’t miss it.

Bart Taylor is publisher of CompanyWeek. Reach him at btaylor@companyweek.com.